Monthly report on Chinese iron ore market for May 2009

Thursday, 02 Jul 2009

China iron ore price picked up entirely in May with total increment hitting CNY 10-40. Local mines were not in high spirit of recovering production due to lower market price than their expectation.
Imported iron ore transaction at spot market expanded and lots of enquires came from domestic purchasers. Since the launch of the initial iron ore long-term contact price between Rio and Nippon Steel, trader are deliberated to drive up spot price as it is much lower than expectation.

Stimulated by substantial ocean freight growth, iron ore import price picked up entirely at the early of June, narrowing the price gap between domestic one, which further promoted domestic ore price rise. Once import price climbs up to the level of domestic one, domestic steel mills will turn to home market, and at the time, miners will consider to recover production again.

I China iron ore price stabilized with increase in some regions in May
II Analysis on iron ore market in June
II.1 Iron ore supply in June will keep rising
II.2 Imported iron ore price jumped up as a whole
II.3 Ocean freight shot up
II.4 Iron ore inventory at ports augmented persistently
II.5 China steel price moved up entirely in May
II.6 Initial FY 2009 international iron ore long-term contract price
II.7 Rising imported ore price is conducive to domestic production recovery

Table 1: China iron ore price in Jul.2008-May, 2009
Table 2: Steel Price Changes at Domestic Market

Graph 1: China iron ore price trend in 2008-May 2009
Graph 2: China iron ore output & import in 2008-Apr.2009
Graph 3: Price contrast between domestic and imported ore in 2008-May 2009
Graph 4: International ocean freight in 2008-May 2009
Graph 5: China iron ore imports & inventory at ports in 2008-May 2009

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