China Steel Industry Forecast till 2012

Executive Summary

“China Steel Industry Forecast till 2012” is the latest market analysis by RNCOS on the world’s largest steel producer, China’s steel industry. This analysis gives an overview of the global steel industry and discusses the Chinese steel industry in detail, including production and consumption pattern, type of steel products, and major exporting–importing countries. It also studies the growth drivers, opportunities, challenges, and future outlook of the industry.

Market Analysis

China’s steel industry is among the world’s major industries and is registering the fastest growth rate not only in terms of production but consumption also (China is the world’s largest steel consumer). The country expanded its steel-making capacity to meet the demand of its rapidly growing economy. Basically, strong economic growth and cheap production base are the major driving forces for rise in steel consumption.

The steel industry of China has been witnessing phenomenal growth since the last few years. In 2006, total crude steel production in the country reached 422.7 Million Metric Tons. China accounted for approx 34% of total global crude steel demand in 2006. Government support and economic growth is propelling growth in the Chinese steel industry. During the period 2000-2006, demand for steel in China grew at a CAGR of 19.18%.

Key Players Analyzed

This section provides the overview and key financials of players like Shanghai Baosteel Group Corporation, Anshan Iron & Steel Group, Wuhan Iron & Steel, Shougang, Jinan Iron & Steel Co. Ltd., Alison Group etc.

Key Findings

• In the recent past, China has emerged as a major growth driver in the global steel industry.
• China is the top crude steel producing country in the world and accounted for approx 34% of global production in 2007.
• Huge government support in the form of subsidies has fuelled the creation of the world’s largest steel industry.
• High import of flat and long products by China offers great opportunity for global steel players.
• Strong economic growth and cheap production base are the major driving forces for growth in steel consumption.
• Over-production and dependency on imported raw material are the biggest challenges.

Key Issues & Facts Analyzed

• What are the future growth prospects and opportunities for steel manufacturers in China?
• What are the major challenges and driving forces for Chinese steel industry?
• What are the major steel exporting and importing countries?
• Who are the major competitors in Chinese steel industry?

Research Methodology

Information Sources
Information has been sourced from books, newspapers, trade journals, and white papers, industry portals, government agencies, trade associations, monitoring industry news and developments, and through access to more than 3000 paid databases.

Analysis Methods
The analysis method includes ratio analysis, historical trend analysis, linear regression analysis using software tools, judgmental forecasting, and cause and effect analysis.



Table of Contents


1. Analyst View
2. Global Steel Industry - An Overview
3. China Steel Industry - An Overview
4. Why China has become the Top Steel Producer?
    4.1 Government Subsidies
    4.2 Sustained GDP Growth
    4.3 High Steel Production Capacity
    4.4 Booming Construction Sector
    4.5 Growing Automotive Industry
    4.6 Growing Manufacturing Industry
    4.7 FDI in Manufacturing Industry
    4.8 Availability of Coke
5. China Steel Industry - Past & Current Scenario
    5.1 By Production
    5.2 By Consumption   
    5.3 By Export
    5.4 By Import
6. China Steel Industry - Future Scenario (2008-2012)
    6.1 By Production
    6.2 By Consumption
7. Key Business Prospects for Steel Industry
    7.1 Construction Sector
    7.2 Machinery & Equipment Sector
    7.3 Automotive Industry
    7.4 Shipbuilding Industry
    7.5 Export
8. Obstructions for Steel Industry
    8.1 Dependency on Imported Raw Material
    8.2 Production Overflow   
    8.3 Barriers to FDI
    8.4 Import Hurdles
    8.5 Raw Material Price
9. Key Players
    9.1 Shanghai Baosteel Group Corporation
    9.2 Anshan Iron & Steel Group
    9.3 Wuhan Iron & Steel
    9.4 Shougang
    9.5 Maanshan Iron & Steel Co. Ltd.
    9.6 Tangshan Iron & Steel Co. Ltd.
    9.7 Jinan Iron & Steel Co. Ltd.
    9.8 Handan Iron & Steel Co. Ltd.
    9.9 Alison Group
    9.10 Angang Steel Co. Ltd.

List of Figures:

Figure 2-1: Global - Production of Crude Steel (in MT*), 2000-2006 & H1 2007
Figure 2-2: Global - Top 10 Steel Producing Companies (in MT*), 2006
Figure 2-3: Global - Top 10 Crude Steel Producing Countries (in MT*), 2006
Figure 2-4: Global - Production of Crude Steel by Region (%), 2006
Figure 2-5: Global - Consumption of Crude Steel by Region (%), 2006
Figure 2-6: Global - Top 10 Countries Importing Semi-finished & Finished Steel Products (in MT*), 2005
Figure 2-7: Global - Top 10 Countries Exporting Semi-finished & Finished Steel Products (in MT*), 2005
Figure 3-1: China - Gross Profit of Steel Industry (in Billion Yuan), 2005 & 2006
Figure 4-1: China - Gross Domestic Product (%), 2002-2006
Figure 5-1: China - Production of Crude Steel (in MT*), 2000-2007E
Figure 5-2: China - Output of Steel Products (in MT*), 2005 & 2006
Figure 5-3: China - Production of Ingots (in MT*), 2000-2005
Figure 5-4: China - Production of Continuously-cast Steel (in MT*), 2000-2005
Figure 5-5: China - Production of Liquid Steel (in MT*), 2000-2005
Figure 5-6: China - Production of Hot Rolled Products (in MT*), 2000-2005
Figure 5-7: China - Production of Hot Rolled Long Products (in MT*), 2000-2005
Figure 5-8: China - Production of Hot Rolled Flat Products (in MT*), 2000-2005
Figure 5-9: China - Production of Railway Track Material (in MT*), 2000-2005
Figure 5-10: China - Production of Concrete Reinforcing Bars (in MT*), 2003-2005
Figure 5-11: China - Production of Hot Rolled Bars (in MT*), 2003-2005
Figure 5-12: China - Production of Wire Rods (in MT*), 2000-2005
Figure 5-13: China - Production of Electrical Sheet & Strips (in MT*), 2000-2005
Figure 5-14: China - Production of Other Metallic Coated Sheet & Strips (in MT*), 2003-2005
Figure 5-15: China - Production of Non-metallic Coated Sheet & Strips (in MT*), 2003-2005
Figure 5-16: China - Production of Tubes & Tube Fitting Strips (in MT*), 2000-2005
Figure 5-17: China - Production of Seamless Tubes (in MT*), 2000-2005
Figure 5-18: China - Production of Welded Tubes (in MT*), 2000-2005
Figure 5-19: China - Apparent Consumption of Steel (in MT*), 2000-2007E
Figure 5-20: China - Consumption of Crude Steel (in MT*), 2001-2007E
Figure 5-21: China - Export of Steel by Type of Product (%), 2006
Figure 5-22: China - Export of Steel by Type of Product (in MT*), 2006
Figure 5-23: China - Export of Steel Products (in MT*), 2000-2007E
Figure 5-24: China - Export of Semi-finished & Finished Steel Products (in MT*), 2000-2005
Figure 5-25: China - Export of Finished Steel by Type of Product (%), 2005
Figure 5-26: China - Export of Scrap Steel (in ‘000 Tons), 2004-2006
Figure 5-27: China - Export of Wire Steel (in MT*), 2004-2006
Figure 5-28: China - Export of Plate & Sheet Steel (in MT*), 2004-2006
Figure 5-29: China - Export of Anglers & Forged Steel (in MT*), 2004-2006
Figure 5-30: China - Export of Steel Billets (in MT*), 2004-2006
Figure 5-31: China - Export of Rolled Steel (in MT*), 2004-2006
Figure 5-32: China - Export of Steel Product by Country (%), 2006
Figure 5-33: China - Export of Steel Product by Country (in MT*), 2006
Figure 5-34: China - Import of Steel by Type of Product (%), 2006
Figure 5-35: China - Import of Steel by Type of Product (in MT*), 2006
Figure 5-36: China - Import of Steel Products (in MT*), 2000-2006
Figure 5-37: China - Import of Semi-finished & Finished Steel Products (in MT*), 2000-2005
Figure 5-38: China - Import of Finished Steel by Type of Product (%), 2005
Figure 5-39: China - Import of Scrap Steel (in MT*), 2004-2006 & H1 2007
Figure 5-40: China - Import of Rolled Steel (in MT*), 2004-2006 & H1 2007
Figure 5-41: China - Import of Steel Plate (in MT*), 2004-2006 & H1 2007
Figure 5-42: China - Import of Steel Products by Country (%), 2006
Figure 5-43: China - Import of Steel Products by Country (in MT*), 2006
Figure 6-1: China - Forecast for Production of Crude Steel (in MT*), 2008-2012
Figure 6-2: China - Forecast for Consumption of Crude Steel (in MT*), 2008-2012
Figure 6-3: China - Forecast for Apparent Consumption of Steel (in MT*), 2008 & 2009
Figure 8-1: China - Import of Iron Ore (in MT*), 2003-2006

List of Tables:

Table 2-1: Global - Production of Crude Steel by Region (in MT*), 2006
Table 2-2: Global - Average* Growth in Production of Steel (%), 1970-75 to 2000-05 & 2005-06
Table 2-3: Global - Export of Steel by Type of Product (in MT*), 2001-2005
Table 9-1: Shanghai Baosteel Group Corporation - Key Financials (in Million Yuan), 2004-2006
Table 9-2: Wuhan Iron & Steel - Key Financials (in Million Yuan), 2004-2006
Table 9-3: Maanshan Iron & Steel Co. Ltd. - Key Financials (in Million Yuan), 2004-2006
Table 9-4: Tangshan Iron & Steel Co. Ltd. - Key Financials (in Million Yuan), 2004-2006
Table 9-5: Jinan Iron & Steel Co. Ltd. - Key Financials (in Million Yuan), 2005 & 2006
Table 9-6: Handan Iron & Steel Co. Ltd. - Key Financials (in Million Yuan), 2004-2006
Table 9-7: Angang Steel Co. Ltd. - Key Financials (in Million Yuan), 2004-2006

 * Million Metric Tons

Summary of the report

Publish Date: Feb '08
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