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Antaike Copper & Aluminium Forecasts

Metal News - Published on Wed, 12 Aug 2020

Image Source: Aluminium Copper
Reuters reported that China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association’s research arm Antaike made a nearly 13% upward revision to its forecast for China’s refined copper imports in 2020, as tight raw material supply constrains domestic output. Antaike saw refined copper imports totalling 3.5 million tonnes this year, down from 3.55 million tonnes in 2019 but 12.9% higher than the 3.1 million tonnes Antaike had forecast in February. It coincides with a downward revision in expected refined copper production from 9.3 million tonnes to 9.1 million tonnes. While China’s copper smelters cut operating rates as the coronavirus outbreak emerged early in the year, it was not long before overseas mines were affected, reducing ore supply. A crackdown on scrap metal also helped lift China’s unwrought copper imports to a record high in June. Projected refined copper consumption is at 11.56 million tonnes, leaving the Chinese market in a 740,000-tonne surplus this year

Separately, Antaike sees China’s aluminium consumption falling 1.7% to 36 million tonnes in 2020, versus a previous estimate of 36.6 million tonnes. China is set to be a net importer of primary aluminium this year to the tune of 400,000 tonnes, she added, versus net exports of 1,000 tonnes in 2019. Chinese aluminium exports are mostly semi-finished products, with primary metal exports taxed at 15%. Imports hit an 11-year high in June, including more than 120,000 tonnes of primary aluminium, as a rare price arbitrage opened.

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Posted By : Yogender Pancholi on Wed, 12 Aug 2020
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