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Monday Market Monitor - Metals (WEEK 46) - Depression continues
2009-11-16

Base metals ended in the red last week as a revival in the dollar made them look unattractive for holders of other currencies.

On the macroeconomic front, the Dollar Index gained last week after a weekly jobless report triggered strength in the currency and momentum pushed it further through key levels. Investors will now shift their focus to a meeting of Asia Pacific nations and other Asian regional issues, including a US state visit to China next week. The dollar index gained strength yesterday on the back of risk aversion that led to a decline in equities and higher demand for the safe-haven dollar. The bounce back in the dollar has also been a technical factor and the currency may manage to trade above its 15 month lows in the near-term.

We expect base metal prices to trade with a negative bias as there is plenty of speculative money about and as such base metals have recovered to a level, nine months ago, you would never have imagined it. This surge has helped producers to say 'prices are great', so a lot of stuff that ought not to be brought back online, has been or will be.

Improving macro data, Chinese stockpiling, a falling dollar and new investor cash have helped copper prices more than double this year, analysts say.

On Friday, the dollar fell across the board after unexpectedly weak trade deficit and consumer sentiment figures stoked worries about the outlook for a US economic recovery.

London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer

Product05-Nov12-NovChange%
Zinc21852131-55-2%
Nickel1780516325-1480-8%
Tin1500014750-250-2%
Aluminium18851918332%
Copper65276470-57-1%

Change is on November 5th as compared to October 29th 2009
In USD per tonne

1. Zinc

London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer

05-Nov09-Nov10-Nov11-Nov12-Nov
21852188212121552131

In USD per tonne

DateRatePeriodChange
12-Nov2131
05-Nov2185WoW-2.49%
12-Oct2061MoM3.40%
12-Aug1784QoQ19.42%
12-Nov'081080YoY97.27%

In USD per tonne

Zinc ended lower at USD 2,174 per tonne with LME stocks climbing 950 tonnes to total 425,200 tonnes and Shanghai stocks up 7,857 tonnes from a week earlier.

2. Nickel

London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer

05-Nov09-Nov10-Nov11-Nov12-Nov
1780517425168451702516325

In USD per tonne

DateRatePeriodChange
12-Nov16325
05-Nov17805WoW-8.31%
12-Oct18805MoM-13.19%
12-Aug19265QoQ-15.26%
12-Nov'0810955YoY49.02%

In USD per tonne

Nickel prices fell more than 8% on Thursday and hit its weakest in three and a half months on the back of technical sales and rising inventories. Nickel stocks climbed to a new high since March 1995 at 131,730 tonnes amid soft stainless steel demand. Also, China produced more than 175,000 tonnes of nickel in the first 10 months of the year, up 18 percent from a year ago.

But helping limit losses, China's state backed research group Antaike said on Friday the country's real consumption of nickel may be higher than expected. China is the world's largest metals consumer.

3. Tin

Cash Buyer

05-Nov09-Nov10-Nov11-Nov12-Nov
1500014950148551494014750

In USD per tonne

DateRatePeriodChange
12-Nov14750
05-Nov15000WoW-1.67%
12-Oct15125MoM-2.48%
12-Aug14905QoQ-1.04%
12-Nov'0814650YoY0.68%


In USD per tonne

The Kuala Lumpur Tin Market is expected to trade range bound this week in the absence of fresh leads amid a weak underlying sentiment. Price of tin is expected to move between US$14,700 and US$14,800 per tonne next week with buyers and sellers not in an aggressive mode.

Although demand for the commodity currently remains flat, the movement of the metal's price on the London Metal Exchange will also have some effect on the local market.

4. Aluminium

Cash Buyer

05-Nov09-Nov10-Nov11-Nov12-Nov
18851895191819381918


In USD per tonne

DateRatePeriodChange
12-Nov1918
05-Nov1885WoW1.72%
12-Oct1914MoM0.18%
12-Aug1891QoQ1.40%
12-Nov'081906YoY0.60%


In USD per tonne

Among other industrial metals, only aluminium closed at USD 1,940 a tonne. Latest data showed LME stocks fell 2,725 tonnes to total 4.5 million tonnes, extending a recent trend of moves away from record high stockpiles.

But in China, traders and smelter sources said privately held stocks of primary aluminium may have increased more than 40% from August to about a million tonnes.

5. Copper

London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer

05-Nov09-Nov10-Nov11-Nov12-Nov
65276564647065956470


In USD per tonne

DateRatePeriodChange
12-Nov6470
05-Nov6527WoW-0.87%
12-Oct6236MoM3.76%
12-Aug6028QoQ7.33%
12-Nov'083690YoY75.36%


In USD per tonne

Copper prices didn’t decline sharply despite a rise in LME inventories as labour worries cushioned the downside. LME inventories climbed 4,800 tonnes and crossed the 400,000 mark for the first time since 6th May. A strike at the Antamina copper and zinc mine in northern Peru is looking more likely, with almost half of unionized workers there voting against a final contract offer from management. At BHP Billiton's Spence mine in Chile, employees have called for management to accept their offer to halt the strike that has now lasted for more than a month.

Latest data showed LME copper stocks rose 1,500 tonnes to 403,625 tonnes, the highest since late April. In Shanghai, warehouse copper stocks hit a new 5-1/2-year high.

To know more details on steel and metal prices subscribe to services of www.steelprices-india.com by registering or sending a mail to admin@steelprices-india.com with contact details. This is a paid service with subscription fee of INR 60,000 plus ST for 12 months. This will keep you in tune with daily happenings in Indian and global steel markets for steel prices. Tailor made package with restricted access to match your needs at lower prices are also available.

(Sourced from www.steelprices-india.com)

 

Monday Market Monitor - Metals (WEEK 45) -chips down
2009-11-09

On the whole, all the base metals fell last week as demand worries intensified after worse than expected employment data in the United States.

US labor department said on Friday that US employers cut a more-than-expected 190,000 jobs last month, taking the unemployment rate to 10.2%, the highest in 26 1/2 years.

It seems that the US economy is not recovering at the pace everyone would like it to and fundamentals are beginning to weigh on people's minds, with rising stocks seeping into the market.

To compound the problem, dollar rose against the euro and a basket of currencies in volatile post data trade. A stronger dollar makes dollar priced metals more expensive for non US investors.

London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer

Product29-Oct05-JanChange%
Zinc22072185-22-1%
Nickel1845517805-650-4%
Tin1530015000-300-2%
Aluminium18991885-14-1%
Copper642465271032%


Change is on November 5th as compared to October 29th 2009
In USD per tonne

1. Zinc

London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer

29-Oct02-Nov03-Nov04-Nov05-Nov
22072144214522012185


In USD per tonne

DateRatePeriodChange
05-Nov2185
29-Oct2207WoW-0.97%
05-Oct1854MoM17.85%
05-Aug1669QoQ30.92%
05-Nov'081135YoY92.51%



2. Nickel

London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer

29-Oct02-Nov03-Nov04-Nov05-Nov
1845518165178001816017805


In USD per tonne

DateRatePeriodChange
05-Nov17805
29-Oct18455WoW-3.52%
05-Oct17100MoM4.12%
05-Aug16845QoQ5.70%
05-Nov'0811805YoY50.83%



3. Tin

Cash Buyer

29-Oct02-Nov03-Nov04-Nov05-Nov
1530014850146951495015000


In USD per tonne

DateRatePeriodChange
05-Nov15000
29-Oct15300WoW-1.96%
05-Oct14550MoM3.09%
05-Aug14605QoQ2.70%
05-Nov'0815225YoY-1.48%



The Kuala Lumpur Tin Market is expected to continue its bearish sentiment this week as the underlying fundamentals remain weak. In the absence of fresh, market moving factors, the metal is expected to hover around the USD 14,890 per tonne level throughout the week.

Against this backdrop, buyers are expected to take on a cautious stance while sellers would abstain from making large offers, in anticipation of higher prices. European, Japanese and local buyers are expected to dominate trade, which may also see a technical correction as the metal price has risen too fast.

4. Aluminium

Cash Buyer

29-Oct02-Nov03-Nov04-Nov05-Nov
18991869186918921885


In USD per tonne

DateRatePeriodChange
05-Nov1885
29-Oct1899WoW-0.74%
05-Oct1760MoM7.13%
05-Aug1819QoQ3.66%
05-Nov'081990YoY-5.28%



5. Copper

London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer

29-Oct02-Nov03-Nov04-Nov05-Nov
64246473639565706527


In USD per tonne

DateRatePeriodChange
05-Nov6527
29-Oct6424WoW1.60%
05-Oct5856MoM11.46%
05-Aug5496QoQ18.75%
05-Nov'084230YoY54.29%



To know more details on steel and metal prices subscribe to services of www.steelprices-india.com by registering or sending a mail to admin@steelprices-india.com with contact details. This is a paid service with subscription fee of INR 60,000 plus ST for 12 months. This will keep you in tune with daily happenings in Indian and global steel markets for steel prices. Tailor made package with restricted access to match your needs at lower prices are also available.

(Sourced from www.steelprices-india.com)

 

Monday Market Monitor - Metals (WEEK 44) - Chips down
2009-11-02

Prices of all the base metals came under sever pressure last week registering losses of 1% to 5% weighed down by a firmer dollar and weaker equities, after mixed economic data raised concerns about the sustainability of the global recovery and its impact on demand for industrial metals.

Economic recovery hopes took a hit after US consumer sentiment slipped in October, while business activity in the US Midwest was strong. Separate data showed employment costs rose 0.4% in the third quarter. The data countered optimism on Thursday fed by the US economy's return to growth in the third quarter.

The uncertain economic outlook drove investors into safer havens like the US dollar, which makes dollar-priced metals more expensive for non US investors.

More recently, worries the Chinese will reduce import buying in the fourth quarter have capped gains, especially as demand in other economies cannot make up for reduced Chinese buying.

London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer

Product22-Oct29-OctChange%
Zinc22402207-33-1%
Nickel1945018455-995-5%
Tin14810153004903%
Aluminium19481899-49-3%
Copper65656424-141-2%

Change is on October 29th as compared to October 22nd 2009
In USD per tonne

1. Zinc

London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer

22-Oct26-Oct27-Oct28-Oct29-Oct
22402330231722402207

In USD per tonne

DateRatePeriodChange
29-Oct2207
22-Oct2240WoW-1.47%
29-Sep1866MoM18.25%
29-Jul1677QoQ31.57%
29-Oct'081186YoY86.05%



2. Nickel

London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer

22-Oct26-Oct27-Oct28-Oct29-Oct
1945019125188901849518455


In USD per tonne

DateRatePeriodChange
29-Oct18455
22-Oct19450WoW-5.12%
29-Sep16890MoM9.27%
29-Jul16600QoQ11.17%
29-Oct'0812500YoY47.64%



3. Tin

London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer

22-Oct26-Oct27-Oct28-Oct29-Oct
1481015450155001509015300

In USD per tonne

DateRatePeriodChange
29-Oct15300
22-Oct14810WoW3.31%
29-Sep15100MoM1.32%
29-Jul14950QoQ2.34%
29-Oct'0815200YoY0.66%



4. Aluminium

London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer

22-Oct26-Oct27-Oct28-Oct29-Oct
19481973198119281899


In USD per tonne

DateRatePeriodChange
29-Oct1899
22-Oct1948WoW-2.52%
29-Sep1782MoM6.57%
29-Jul1797QoQ5.68%
29-Oct'082104YoY-9.74%



5. Copper

London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer

22-Oct26-Oct27-Oct28-Oct29-Oct
65656675656064706424


In USD per tonne

DateRatePeriodChange
29-Oct6424
22-Oct6565WoW-2.15%
29-Sep5934MoM8.26%
29-Jul5550QoQ15.75%
29-Oct'084420YoY45.34%



To know more details on steel and metal prices subscribe to services of www.steelprices-india.com by registering or sending a mail to admin@steelprices-india.com with contact details. This is a paid service with subscription fee of INR 60,000 plus ST for 12 months. This will keep you in tune with daily happenings in Indian and global steel markets for steel prices. Tailor made package with restricted access to match your needs at lower prices are also available.

(Sourced from www.steelprices-india.com)

 

Monday Market Monitor - Metals (WEEK 43) - Rate improves
2009-10-26

London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer

Product15-Oct22-OctChange%
Zinc1964224027614%
Nickel181701945012807%
Tin14500148103102%
Aluminium183519481136%
Copper607665654898%


Change is on October 22nd as compared to October 15th 2009
In USD per tonne

1. Zinc

London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer

15-Oct19-Oct20-Oct21-Oct22-Oct
19642034209921142240


In USD per tonne

DateRatePeriodChange
22-Oct2240
15-Oct1964WoW14.03%
22-Sep1925MoM16.37%
22-Jul1626QoQ37.73%
22-Oct'081821YoY22.98%



2. Nickel

London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer

15-Oct19-Oct20-Oct21-Oct22-Oct
1817018825191501880019450


In USD per tonne

Date Rate Period Change
22-Oct 19450

DateRatePeriodChange
22-Oct19450
15-Oct18170WoW7.04%
22-Sep17625MoM10.35%
22-Jul15850QoQ22.71%
22-Oct'0820395YoY-4.63%



3. Tin

London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer

15-Oct19-Oct20-Oct21-Oct22-Oct
1450014755150401472514810


In USD per tonne

DateRatePeriodChange
22-Oct14810
15-Oct14500WoW2.14%
22-Sep15440MoM-4.08%
22-Jul14100QoQ5.04%
22-Oct'0823300YoY-36.44%



4. Aluminium

London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer

15-Oct19-Oct20-Oct21-Oct22-Oct
18351870192018601948


In USD per tonne

Date Rate Period Change
22-Oct 1948

DateRatePeriodChange
22-Oct1948
15-Oct1835WoW6.16%
22-Sep1864MoM4.51%
22-Jul1706QoQ14.19%
22-Oct'082987YoY-34.78%



5. Copper

London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer

15-Oct19-Oct20-Oct21-Oct22-Oct
60766259644463466565


In USD per tonne

Date Rate Period Change
22-Oct 6565

DateRatePeriodChange
22-Oct6565
15-Oct6076WoW8.05%
22-Sep6295MoM4.29%
22-Jul5340QoQ22.94%
22-Oct'088390YoY-21.75%



To know more details on steel prices subscribe to services of www.steelprices-india.com by registering or sending a mail to admin@steelprices-india.com with contact details. This is a paid service with subscription fee of INR 60,000 plus ST for 12 months. This will keep you in tune with daily happenings in Indian and global steel markets for steel prices. Tailor made package with restricted access to match your needs at lower prices are also available.

(Sourced from www.steelprices-india.com)

 

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