Base metals ended in the red last week as a revival in the dollar made them look unattractive for holders of other currencies.
On the macroeconomic front, the Dollar Index gained last week after a weekly jobless report triggered strength in the currency and momentum pushed it further through key levels. Investors will now shift their focus to a meeting of Asia Pacific nations and other Asian regional issues, including a US state visit to China next week. The dollar index gained strength yesterday on the back of risk aversion that led to a decline in equities and higher demand for the safe-haven dollar. The bounce back in the dollar has also been a technical factor and the currency may manage to trade above its 15 month lows in the near-term.
We expect base metal prices to trade with a negative bias as there is plenty of speculative money about and as such base metals have recovered to a level, nine months ago, you would never have imagined it. This surge has helped producers to say 'prices are great', so a lot of stuff that ought not to be brought back online, has been or will be.
Improving macro data, Chinese stockpiling, a falling dollar and new investor cash have helped copper prices more than double this year, analysts say.
On Friday, the dollar fell across the board after unexpectedly weak trade deficit and consumer sentiment figures stoked worries about the outlook for a US economic recovery.
London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer
| Product | 05-Nov | 12-Nov | Change | %
|
| Zinc | 2185 | 2131 | -55 | -2%
|
| Nickel | 17805 | 16325 | -1480 | -8%
|
| Tin | 15000 | 14750 | -250 | -2%
|
| Aluminium | 1885 | 1918 | 33 | 2%
|
| Copper | 6527 | 6470 | -57 | -1% |
Change is on November 5th as compared to October 29th 2009
In USD per tonne
1. Zinc
London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer
| 05-Nov | 09-Nov | 10-Nov | 11-Nov | 12-Nov
|
| 2185 | 2188 | 2121 | 2155 | 2131 |
In USD per tonne
| Date | Rate | Period | Change
|
| 12-Nov | 2131 | |
|
| 05-Nov | 2185 | WoW | -2.49%
|
| 12-Oct | 2061 | MoM | 3.40%
|
| 12-Aug | 1784 | QoQ | 19.42%
|
| 12-Nov'08 | 1080 | YoY | 97.27% |
In USD per tonne
Zinc ended lower at USD 2,174 per tonne with LME stocks climbing 950 tonnes to total 425,200 tonnes and Shanghai stocks up 7,857 tonnes from a week earlier.
2. Nickel
London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer
| 05-Nov | 09-Nov | 10-Nov | 11-Nov | 12-Nov
|
| 17805 | 17425 | 16845 | 17025 | 16325 |
In USD per tonne
| Date | Rate | Period | Change
|
| 12-Nov | 16325 | |
|
| 05-Nov | 17805 | WoW | -8.31%
|
| 12-Oct | 18805 | MoM | -13.19%
|
| 12-Aug | 19265 | QoQ | -15.26%
|
| 12-Nov'08 | 10955 | YoY | 49.02% |
In USD per tonne
Nickel prices fell more than 8% on Thursday and hit its weakest in three and a half months on the back of technical sales and rising inventories. Nickel stocks climbed to a new high since March 1995 at 131,730 tonnes amid soft stainless steel demand. Also, China produced more than 175,000 tonnes of nickel in the first 10 months of the year, up 18 percent from a year ago.
But helping limit losses, China's state backed research group Antaike said on Friday the country's real consumption of nickel may be higher than expected. China is the world's largest metals consumer.
3. Tin
Cash Buyer
| 05-Nov | 09-Nov | 10-Nov | 11-Nov | 12-Nov
|
| 15000 | 14950 | 14855 | 14940 | 14750 |
In USD per tonne
| Date | Rate | Period | Change
|
| 12-Nov | 14750 | |
|
| 05-Nov | 15000 | WoW | -1.67%
|
| 12-Oct | 15125 | MoM | -2.48%
|
| 12-Aug | 14905 | QoQ | -1.04%
|
| 12-Nov'08 | 14650 | YoY | 0.68% |
In USD per tonne
The Kuala Lumpur Tin Market is expected to trade range bound this week in the absence of fresh leads amid a weak underlying sentiment. Price of tin is expected to move between US$14,700 and US$14,800 per tonne next week with buyers and sellers not in an aggressive mode.
Although demand for the commodity currently remains flat, the movement of the metal's price on the London Metal Exchange will also have some effect on the local market.
4. Aluminium
Cash Buyer
| 05-Nov | 09-Nov | 10-Nov | 11-Nov | 12-Nov
|
| 1885 | 1895 | 1918 | 1938 | 1918 |
In USD per tonne
| Date | Rate | Period | Change
|
| 12-Nov | 1918 | |
|
| 05-Nov | 1885 | WoW | 1.72%
|
| 12-Oct | 1914 | MoM | 0.18%
|
| 12-Aug | 1891 | QoQ | 1.40%
|
| 12-Nov'08 | 1906 | YoY | 0.60% |
In USD per tonne
Among other industrial metals, only aluminium closed at USD 1,940 a tonne. Latest data showed LME stocks fell 2,725 tonnes to total 4.5 million tonnes, extending a recent trend of moves away from record high stockpiles.
But in China, traders and smelter sources said privately held stocks of primary aluminium may have increased more than 40% from August to about a million tonnes.
5. Copper
London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer
| 05-Nov | 09-Nov | 10-Nov | 11-Nov | 12-Nov
|
| 6527 | 6564 | 6470 | 6595 | 6470 |
In USD per tonne
| Date | Rate | Period | Change
|
| 12-Nov | 6470 | |
|
| 05-Nov | 6527 | WoW | -0.87%
|
| 12-Oct | 6236 | MoM | 3.76%
|
| 12-Aug | 6028 | QoQ | 7.33%
|
| 12-Nov'08 | 3690 | YoY | 75.36% |
In USD per tonne
Copper prices didn’t decline sharply despite a rise in LME inventories as labour worries cushioned the downside. LME inventories climbed 4,800 tonnes and crossed the 400,000 mark for the first time since 6th May. A strike at the Antamina copper and zinc mine in northern Peru is looking more likely, with almost half of unionized workers there voting against a final contract offer from management. At BHP Billiton's Spence mine in Chile, employees have called for management to accept their offer to halt the strike that has now lasted for more than a month.
Latest data showed LME copper stocks rose 1,500 tonnes to 403,625 tonnes, the highest since late April. In Shanghai, warehouse copper stocks hit a new 5-1/2-year high.
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On the whole, all the base metals fell last week as demand worries intensified after worse than expected employment data in the United States.
US labor department said on Friday that US employers cut a more-than-expected 190,000 jobs last month, taking the unemployment rate to 10.2%, the highest in 26 1/2 years.
It seems that the US economy is not recovering at the pace everyone would like it to and fundamentals are beginning to weigh on people's minds, with rising stocks seeping into the market.
To compound the problem, dollar rose against the euro and a basket of currencies in volatile post data trade. A stronger dollar makes dollar priced metals more expensive for non US investors.
London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer
| Product | 29-Oct | 05-Jan | Change | %
|
| Zinc | 2207 | 2185 | -22 | -1%
|
| Nickel | 18455 | 17805 | -650 | -4%
|
| Tin | 15300 | 15000 | -300 | -2%
|
| Aluminium | 1899 | 1885 | -14 | -1%
|
| Copper | 6424 | 6527 | 103 | 2% |
Change is on November 5th as compared to October 29th 2009
In USD per tonne
1. Zinc
London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer
| 29-Oct | 02-Nov | 03-Nov | 04-Nov | 05-Nov
|
| 2207 | 2144 | 2145 | 2201 | 2185 |
In USD per tonne
| Date | Rate | Period | Change
|
| 05-Nov | 2185 | |
|
| 29-Oct | 2207 | WoW | -0.97%
|
| 05-Oct | 1854 | MoM | 17.85%
|
| 05-Aug | 1669 | QoQ | 30.92%
|
| 05-Nov'08 | 1135 | YoY | 92.51% |
2. Nickel
London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer
| 29-Oct | 02-Nov | 03-Nov | 04-Nov | 05-Nov
|
| 18455 | 18165 | 17800 | 18160 | 17805 |
In USD per tonne
| Date | Rate | Period | Change
|
| 05-Nov | 17805 | |
|
| 29-Oct | 18455 | WoW | -3.52%
|
| 05-Oct | 17100 | MoM | 4.12%
|
| 05-Aug | 16845 | QoQ | 5.70%
|
| 05-Nov'08 | 11805 | YoY | 50.83% |
3. Tin
Cash Buyer
| 29-Oct | 02-Nov | 03-Nov | 04-Nov | 05-Nov
|
| 15300 | 14850 | 14695 | 14950 | 15000 |
In USD per tonne
| Date | Rate | Period | Change
|
| 05-Nov | 15000 | |
|
| 29-Oct | 15300 | WoW | -1.96%
|
| 05-Oct | 14550 | MoM | 3.09%
|
| 05-Aug | 14605 | QoQ | 2.70%
|
| 05-Nov'08 | 15225 | YoY | -1.48% |
The Kuala Lumpur Tin Market is expected to continue its bearish sentiment this week as the underlying fundamentals remain weak. In the absence of fresh, market moving factors, the metal is expected to hover around the USD 14,890 per tonne level throughout the week.
Against this backdrop, buyers are expected to take on a cautious stance while sellers would abstain from making large offers, in anticipation of higher prices. European, Japanese and local buyers are expected to dominate trade, which may also see a technical correction as the metal price has risen too fast.
4. Aluminium
Cash Buyer
| 29-Oct | 02-Nov | 03-Nov | 04-Nov | 05-Nov
|
| 1899 | 1869 | 1869 | 1892 | 1885 |
In USD per tonne
| Date | Rate | Period | Change
|
| 05-Nov | 1885 | |
|
| 29-Oct | 1899 | WoW | -0.74%
|
| 05-Oct | 1760 | MoM | 7.13%
|
| 05-Aug | 1819 | QoQ | 3.66%
|
| 05-Nov'08 | 1990 | YoY | -5.28% |
5. Copper
London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer
| 29-Oct | 02-Nov | 03-Nov | 04-Nov | 05-Nov
|
| 6424 | 6473 | 6395 | 6570 | 6527 |
In USD per tonne
| Date | Rate | Period | Change
|
| 05-Nov | 6527 | |
|
| 29-Oct | 6424 | WoW | 1.60%
|
| 05-Oct | 5856 | MoM | 11.46%
|
| 05-Aug | 5496 | QoQ | 18.75%
|
| 05-Nov'08 | 4230 | YoY | 54.29% |
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Prices of all the base metals came under sever pressure last week registering losses of 1% to 5% weighed down by a firmer dollar and weaker equities, after mixed economic data raised concerns about the sustainability of the global recovery and its impact on demand for industrial metals.
Economic recovery hopes took a hit after US consumer sentiment slipped in October, while business activity in the US Midwest was strong. Separate data showed employment costs rose 0.4% in the third quarter. The data countered optimism on Thursday fed by the US economy's return to growth in the third quarter.
The uncertain economic outlook drove investors into safer havens like the US dollar, which makes dollar-priced metals more expensive for non US investors.
More recently, worries the Chinese will reduce import buying in the fourth quarter have capped gains, especially as demand in other economies cannot make up for reduced Chinese buying.
London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer
| Product | 22-Oct | 29-Oct | Change | %
|
| Zinc | 2240 | 2207 | -33 | -1%
|
| Nickel | 19450 | 18455 | -995 | -5%
|
| Tin | 14810 | 15300 | 490 | 3%
|
| Aluminium | 1948 | 1899 | -49 | -3%
|
| Copper | 6565 | 6424 | -141 | -2% |
Change is on October 29th as compared to October 22nd 2009
In USD per tonne
1. Zinc
London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer
| 22-Oct | 26-Oct | 27-Oct | 28-Oct | 29-Oct
|
| 2240 | 2330 | 2317 | 2240 | 2207 |
In USD per tonne
| Date | Rate | Period | Change
|
| 29-Oct | 2207 | |
|
| 22-Oct | 2240 | WoW | -1.47%
|
| 29-Sep | 1866 | MoM | 18.25%
|
| 29-Jul | 1677 | QoQ | 31.57%
|
| 29-Oct'08 | 1186 | YoY | 86.05% |
2. Nickel
London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer
| 22-Oct | 26-Oct | 27-Oct | 28-Oct | 29-Oct
|
| 19450 | 19125 | 18890 | 18495 | 18455 |
In USD per tonne
| Date | Rate | Period | Change
|
| 29-Oct | 18455 | |
|
| 22-Oct | 19450 | WoW | -5.12%
|
| 29-Sep | 16890 | MoM | 9.27%
|
| 29-Jul | 16600 | QoQ | 11.17%
|
| 29-Oct'08 | 12500 | YoY | 47.64% |
3. Tin
London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer
| 22-Oct | 26-Oct | 27-Oct | 28-Oct | 29-Oct
|
| 14810 | 15450 | 15500 | 15090 | 15300 |
In USD per tonne
| Date | Rate | Period | Change
|
| 29-Oct | 15300 | |
|
| 22-Oct | 14810 | WoW | 3.31%
|
| 29-Sep | 15100 | MoM | 1.32%
|
| 29-Jul | 14950 | QoQ | 2.34%
|
| 29-Oct'08 | 15200 | YoY | 0.66% |
4. Aluminium
London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer
| 22-Oct | 26-Oct | 27-Oct | 28-Oct | 29-Oct
|
| 1948 | 1973 | 1981 | 1928 | 1899 |
In USD per tonne
| Date | Rate | Period | Change
|
| 29-Oct | 1899 | |
|
| 22-Oct | 1948 | WoW | -2.52%
|
| 29-Sep | 1782 | MoM | 6.57%
|
| 29-Jul | 1797 | QoQ | 5.68%
|
| 29-Oct'08 | 2104 | YoY | -9.74% |
5. Copper
London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer
| 22-Oct | 26-Oct | 27-Oct | 28-Oct | 29-Oct
|
| 6565 | 6675 | 6560 | 6470 | 6424 |
In USD per tonne
| Date | Rate | Period | Change
|
| 29-Oct | 6424 | |
|
| 22-Oct | 6565 | WoW | -2.15%
|
| 29-Sep | 5934 | MoM | 8.26%
|
| 29-Jul | 5550 | QoQ | 15.75%
|
| 29-Oct'08 | 4420 | YoY | 45.34% |
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London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer
| Product | 15-Oct | 22-Oct | Change | %
|
| Zinc | 1964 | 2240 | 276 | 14%
|
| Nickel | 18170 | 19450 | 1280 | 7%
|
| Tin | 14500 | 14810 | 310 | 2%
|
| Aluminium | 1835 | 1948 | 113 | 6%
|
| Copper | 6076 | 6565 | 489 | 8% |
Change is on October 22nd as compared to October 15th 2009
In USD per tonne
1. Zinc
London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer
| 15-Oct | 19-Oct | 20-Oct | 21-Oct | 22-Oct
|
| 1964 | 2034 | 2099 | 2114 | 2240 |
In USD per tonne
| Date | Rate | Period | Change
|
| 22-Oct | 2240 | |
|
| 15-Oct | 1964 | WoW | 14.03%
|
| 22-Sep | 1925 | MoM | 16.37%
|
| 22-Jul | 1626 | QoQ | 37.73%
|
| 22-Oct'08 | 1821 | YoY | 22.98% |
2. Nickel
London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer
| 15-Oct | 19-Oct | 20-Oct | 21-Oct | 22-Oct
|
| 18170 | 18825 | 19150 | 18800 | 19450 |
In USD per tonne
Date Rate Period Change
22-Oct 19450
| Date | Rate | Period | Change
|
| 22-Oct | 19450 | |
|
| 15-Oct | 18170 | WoW | 7.04%
|
| 22-Sep | 17625 | MoM | 10.35%
|
| 22-Jul | 15850 | QoQ | 22.71%
|
| 22-Oct'08 | 20395 | YoY | -4.63% |
3. Tin
London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer
| 15-Oct | 19-Oct | 20-Oct | 21-Oct | 22-Oct
|
| 14500 | 14755 | 15040 | 14725 | 14810 |
In USD per tonne
| Date | Rate | Period | Change
|
| 22-Oct | 14810 | |
|
| 15-Oct | 14500 | WoW | 2.14%
|
| 22-Sep | 15440 | MoM | -4.08%
|
| 22-Jul | 14100 | QoQ | 5.04%
|
| 22-Oct'08 | 23300 | YoY | -36.44% |
4. Aluminium
London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer
| 15-Oct | 19-Oct | 20-Oct | 21-Oct | 22-Oct
|
| 1835 | 1870 | 1920 | 1860 | 1948 |
In USD per tonne
Date Rate Period Change
22-Oct 1948
| Date | Rate | Period | Change
|
| 22-Oct | 1948 | |
|
| 15-Oct | 1835 | WoW | 6.16%
|
| 22-Sep | 1864 | MoM | 4.51%
|
| 22-Jul | 1706 | QoQ | 14.19%
|
| 22-Oct'08 | 2987 | YoY | -34.78% |
5. Copper
London Metal Exchange Rates
Cash Buyer
| 15-Oct | 19-Oct | 20-Oct | 21-Oct | 22-Oct
|
| 6076 | 6259 | 6444 | 6346 | 6565 |
In USD per tonne
Date Rate Period Change
22-Oct 6565
| Date | Rate | Period | Change
|
| 22-Oct | 6565 | |
|
| 15-Oct | 6076 | WoW | 8.05%
|
| 22-Sep | 6295 | MoM | 4.29%
|
| 22-Jul | 5340 | QoQ | 22.94%
|
| 22-Oct'08 | 8390 | YoY | -21.75% |
To know more details on steel prices subscribe to services of www.steelprices-india.com by registering or sending a mail to admin@steelprices-india.com with contact details. This is a paid service with subscription fee of INR 60,000 plus ST for 12 months. This will keep you in tune with daily happenings in Indian and global steel markets for steel prices. Tailor made package with restricted access to match your needs at lower prices are also available.
(Sourced from www.steelprices-india.com)